Hurricane season in the Atlantic runs from June 1 through November 30th, meaning we are now more than halfway through it. However, today is significant because it marks the climatological peak of the season.. September 10th. This means we generally see an increase in activity beginning in early August and leading up through today, with the largest amount of activity, on average, typically occurring around now. However- the entire month of September usually remains fairly active.
So far this year, we've had 8 named storms, 4 hurricanes, and 1 major (category 3 or higher) hurricane. The most recent storm, the "H" storm, we all are familiar with, as last week at this time we were just drying out locally from heavy rains courtesy of Tropical Storm Hermine.
The Hurricane outlook is typically updated at least once or twice throughout the season from the initial forecast put out before the season begins.. and that has been the case with the Colorado State University (CSU) forecast, which is one of the most notable outlooks put out. The most recent forecast from CSU calls for 15 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes, which would mean we still had 7 storms, 2 hurricanes, and 1 major hurricane ahead of us if that forecast were to verify.
There are currently 3 areas of interest being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) for possible tropical development. The most promising area has an 90% chance of becoming a tropical system within the next 5 days, and the next name on the list is "Ian".
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